The Impact of FMC on World Telecommunications Markets
 

Publication Date: February 6, 2007.

Price : USD2,200
(Price includes a soft copy with multi-site/multi-user license. Paper copy available upon request.)

The report reveals that the US cellular operators are headed toward a loss of $3.3 billion a year by 2011 due to FMC. FMC, being trialed by over 250 service providers worldwide, has so far been handled with caution by the cellular operators who are not certain whether FMC will have a positive or a negative impact on them in the long run. The report offers first firm estimates of revenue losses/gain for cellular operators due to FMC. Sensitivity analysis shows that cellular operators in the US need to gain over 70 percent of the FMC market to balance the loss. The other way to balance the impact is to secure migration from fixed to FMC accounts. In the latter case, US cellular operators would need to own at least 78 percent of such FMC subscriptions. In a similar analysis for the UK, cellular operators there stand to lose $1.3 billion a year by 2011 due to FMC. The report analysis the impact of FMC in 12 countries.

Cellular operators gain revenue from FMC in several ways. They can potentially gain new subscribers, substitute fixed minutes, and stimulate a higher call volume. But they also lose a healthy margin on minutes that are transported over WiFi due a large price differential between a Voice-over-WiFi call and a cellular call. The main source for revenue gain is the monthly FMC account fee. These are some of the sources of revenue gain and revenue loss for cellular operators. iLocus report lists a variety of sources through which revenue can be lost and gained. The report then estimates the overall impact on the cellular operator revenues in 12 different countries. The overall impact of FMC on cellular operators depends, among a dozen different factors, on the FMC market share, WiFi access spot penetration, and the calling patterns of cellular subscribers in each country.

HOW TO ORDER

1. By Credit Card Online

Click here to order. Price USD2,200

(Please make sure that the billing address details are 100% accurate. Otherwise the payment gateway will decline the transaction. While trying to pay online, if you who get 'Session Expiry Error' please do the following: In the browser window of Internet Explorer click "Tools", "Internet Options", "Privacy" and then "Advanced" button. In the "Advanced Privacy Settings" window, select the checkbox "Override automatic cookie handling" and also the radio buttons "Accept".)

2. By wire transfer or check
 Step 1: Please email us the postal address and email address of the person within your company to be invoiced.

Step 2: We will email an invoice in pdf format.

Step 3: Once the receipt of invoice is acknowledged we will email the report through.

(Payment within 7 days in most cases).

Below is the outline of contents and a list of tables and figures.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1. THE CONCEPT OF FMC

2. FACTORS DRIVING GROWTH OF FMC

2.1 Growth of Mobile Telephony

2.2 VoIP Growth

2.3 Broadband and WiFi

2.4 In-house Mobile Coverage

2.5 Enterprise VoWLAN

2.6 Triple Play and Quadruple Play Services

2.7 Improving the Economics of Delivering Calls

2.8 Exploring New Opportunities

3. FMC MARKET TRENDS

3.1 Update on Service Provider Trials

3.2 Market Entry for Fixed Providers: MNO / MVNO / Mobile Agnostic

3.3 Pricing models for FMC services

3.4 Regional Comparison

3.5 Residential Versus Enterprise FMC Offerings

3.6 Options Implemented Vis-à-Vis Network Types 

3.7 Options Implemented Vis-à-Vis Standards, and Factors Determining their Selection

3.7.1 Existing Infrastructure

3.7.2 Time Factor

3.7.3 Long Term Objectives

3.7.4 CAPEX

3.7.5 Services Mix

3.7.6 Target Market

3.8 With IMS or Without: FMC Marches On

3.9 VCC Activity Update 2006

3.10 The Femtocell Option

4. SERVICE PROVIDER CASE STUDIES

4.1 BT Case Study

4.1.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.1.2 Vendor Selection

4.1.3 From Trial to Launch

4.1.4 Since Launch

4.2 Orange Case Study

4.2.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.2.2 Vendor Selection

4.2.3 From Trial to Launch

4.2.4 Since Launch

4.3 Telecom Italia Case Study

4.3.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.3.2 Vendor Selection

4.3.3 From Trial to Launch

4.3.4 Since Launch

4.4. Hello AS Case Study

4.4.1 Background

4.4.2 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.2.3 Vendor Selection

4.4.4 From Trial to Launch

4.4.5 Since Launch

4.5 TeliaSonera Case Study

4.5.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.5.2 From Trial to Launch

4.5.3 Since Launch

4.5.4 Vendor Selection

4.6.1 O2 Case Study

4.6.2 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.6.3 From Trial to Launch

4.6.4 Selection of Vendors

4.7 Cable and Wireless Case Study

4.7.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.7.2 From Trial to Launch

4.7.3 Selection of Vendors

4.8 Global Crossing Case Study

4.8.1 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.8.2 From Trial to Launch

4.8.3 Selection of Vendors

4.9 Eurocom Case Study

4.9.1 Background

4.9.2 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.9.3 From Trial to Launch

4.9.4 Selection of Vendors

4.10 PMN Case Study

4.10.1 Background

4.10.2 FMC Service Details and Target Market

4.10.3 Since Launch

4.10.4 Vendor Selection

5. FMC SUBSCRIBER NUMBERS AND FORECASTS

6. THE FMC VENDOR SPACE

6.1 The FMC Network Components

6.2 Self-Positioning by FMC Vendors

6.3 Varied Background of FMC Startup Vendors

6.4 Early Stage Competition Among Vendors

6.5 Present Phase Vendor Ranking

7. VENDOR SWOT ANALYSIS

7.1 Accuris Networks 

7.2 Alcatel

7.3 ARRIS

7.4 Azaire Networks

7.5 BridgePort Networks

7.6 Centile

7.7 Cicero Networks

7.8 Convergin

7.9 DiVitas Networks

7.10 FirstHand Technologies

7.11 Kineto Wireless

7.12 Mavenir

7.13 NetCentrex / Comverse

7.14 NewStep Networks

7.15 Outsmart Telecom

7.16 Personeta

7.17 ReefPoint

7.18 Sonus Networks

7.19 Stoke

7.20 Tatara Systems

7.21 Telegrupp

7.22 Tekelec

7.23 UTStarcom

8. FMC CHALLENGES 2007

8.1 Beyond Handover

8.2 Multimedia Session Continuity

8.3 Enabling Wider Coverage

8.4 Handset Availability

8.5 Mobile Handset Agnostic Offerings

8.6 FMC Security

8.7 QoS Mechanism

8.8 Enterprise Controlled Solutions

8.9 Scalability and Flexibility of FMC Solution

8.10 Co-ordination and Integration of FMC Platforms

8.11 Marketing Strategy and Pricing Models

8.12 Articulating End-User Benefits

9. FMC AS MARKET OPPORTUNITY: COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

9.1 Opportunities for Fixed Operators

9.2 Opportunities for Cellular Operators

10. IMPACT OF FMC ON CELLULAR OPERATORS WORLDWIDE

10.1 Sources of Revenue Gain

10.2 Sources of Revenue Loss

10.3 Net Impact on Cellular Operators

10.4 Model for Estimating Net Impact

10.5 Qualitative and Quantitative Assumptions

11. NET IMPACT OF FMC ON CELLULAR OPERATORS

11.1 United States

11.1.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.1.2 Net Impact of FMC on United States Cellular Industry

11.1.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.2 Canada

11.2.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.2.2 Net Impact of FMC on Canadian Cellular Industry

11.2.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.3 United Kingdom

11.3.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.3.2 Net Impact of FMC on United Kingdom Cellular Industry

11.3.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.4 France

11.4.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.4.2 Net Impact of FMC on French Cellular Industry

11.4.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.5 Germany

11.5.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.5.2 Net Impact of FMC on German Cellular Industry

11.5.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.6 Italy

11.6.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.6.2 Net Impact of FMC on Italian Cellular Industry

11.6.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.7 Japan

11.7.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.7.2 Net Impact of FMC on Japanese Cellular Industry

11.7.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.8. Hong Kong

11.8.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.8.2 Net Impact of FMC on Hong Kong Cellular Industry

11.8.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.9 Singapore

11.9.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.9.2 Net Impact of FMC on Singapore Cellular Industry

11.9.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.10 China

11.10.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.10.2 Net Impact of FMC on Chinese Cellular Industry

11.10.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.11 India

11.11.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.11.2 Net Impact of FMC on Indian Cellular Industry

11.11.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

11.12 South Korea

11.12.1 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

11.12.2 Net Impact of FMC on South Korean Cellular Industry

11.12.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

12. CONCLUSIONS

FIGURES AND TABLES

Figure 1.1: FMC infrastructure setup

Figure 3.1: Service provider trials secured by different vendors

Table 3.1: Selection of UMA and IMS/Pre-IMS options by different service providers

Table 3.2: FMC tariffs of service providers worldwide

Table 5.1: FMC Commercial offerings with service details.

Figure 3.2. FMC options and factors determining their selection

Table 5.2: FMC subscribers of various service providers worldwide at the end of 2006

Figure 5.1: FMC subscribers worldwide (2007-2011)

Table 5.3: FMC subscribers worldwide and the revenue generated. 2007-2011

Figure 5.2: FMC services worldwide revenue (2007-2011)

Table 6.1: Vendor market share ranking, in (1) UMA deployments, (2) Pre-IMS/VCC deployments, and (3) overall FMC deployments

Table 7.1 Accuris Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.2 Alcatel SWOT analysis

Table 7.3 ARRIS SWOT analysis

Table 7.4 Azaire Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.5 BridgePort Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.6 Centile SWOT analysis

Table 7.7 Cicero Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.8 Convergin SWOT analysis

Table 7.9 DiVitas Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.10 FirstHand Technologies SWOT analysis

Table 7.11 Kineto Wireless SWOT analysis

Table 7.12 Mavenir SWOT analysis

Table 7.13 NetCentrex / Comverse SWOT analysis

Table 7.14 NewStep Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.15 Outsmart Telecom SWOT analysis

Table 7.16 Personeta SWOT analysis

Table 7.17 ReefPoint SWOT analysis

Table 7.18 Sonus Networks SWOT analysis

Table 7.19 Stoke SWOT analysis

Table 7.20 Tatara Systems SWOT analysis

Table 7.21 Telegrupp SWOT analysis

Table 7.22 Tekelec SWOT analysis

Table 7.23 UTStarcom SWOT analysis

Table 11.1 Quantitative assumptions made for estimating impact of FMC on cellular operators

Table 11.2 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: United States

Figure 11.1 Net Impact of FMC on United States Cellular Industry

Table 11.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.4 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Canada

Table 11.5 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Figure 11.2 Net Impact of FMC on Canadian Cellular Industry

Table 11.6 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.7 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: United Kingdom

Figure 11.3 Net Impact of FMC on United Kingdom Cellular Industry

Table 11.8 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.9 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: France

Figure 11.4 Net Impact of FMC on French Cellular Industry

Table 11.10 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.11 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Germany

Figure 11.5 Net Impact of FMC on German Cellular Industry

Table 11.12 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.13 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Italy

Figure 11.6 Net Impact of FMC on Italian Cellular Industry

Table 11.14 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.15 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Japan

Figure 11.7 Net Impact of FMC on Japanese Cellular Industry

Table 11.16 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.17 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Hong Kong

Figure 11.8 Net Impact of FMC on Hong Kong Cellular Industry

Table 11.18 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.19 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: Singapore

Figure 11.9 Net Impact of FMC on Singapore Cellular Industry

Table 11.20 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.21 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: China

Figure 11.10 Net Impact of FMC on Chinese Cellular Industry

Table 11.22 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.23 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: India

Figure 11.11 Net Impact of FMC on Indian Cellular Industry

Table 11.24 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

Table 11.25 FMC Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts: South Korea

Figure 11.12 Net Impact of FMC on South Korean Cellular Industry

Table 11.26 Sensitivity Analysis of Assumptions

HOW TO ORDER

1. By Credit Card Online

Click here to order. Price USD2,200

(Please make sure that the billing address details are 100% accurate. Otherwise the payment gateway will decline the transaction. While trying to pay online, if you who get 'Session Expiry Error' please do the following: In the browser window of Internet Explorer click "Tools", "Internet Options", "Privacy" and then "Advanced" button. In the "Advanced Privacy Settings" window, select the checkbox "Override automatic cookie handling" and also the radio buttons "Accept".)

2. By wire transfer or check
 Step 1: Please email us the postal address and email address of the person within your company to be invoiced.

Step 2: We will email an invoice in pdf format.

Step 3: Once the receipt of invoice is acknowledged we will email the report through.

(Payment within 7 days in most cases).